An excellent point

Herb Meyer writes in The American Thinker:

A consensus seems to be emerging among intelligence and military experts that Iran's blustering president has, so to speak, gotten in front of his own headlights‚ that despite his threats to unleash nuclear Armageddon his country is at least 10 and perhaps 20 years away from having its first nuke.

Oh, really?

The United States invented the nuclear bomb, and the elapsed time from starting the Manhattan project to Hiroshima was four years. During the six decades since then the knowledge about how nuclear weapons work and how to build them has become widely disseminated. And with the advent of computers, manufacturing technology has become cheaper‚ and much, much faster.

Question for all these experts: Do you really believe it will take Iran five times longer to build a bomb in the twenty-first century than it took us to invent it and then build it back in the 1940s?

Are you sure?

I'm sure that there is someone out saying "they're only a bunch of camel molesting sand monkeys, how can they build a bomb". Well, not really. The people building the Iranian bomb are not Iranians. They are scientists trained in the universities of the former Soviet Union. They were the people who were building, or learning to build, the USSR's nuclear weapons. Is there anyone who doubts that the Soviets could build working atomic bombs?

As Mr. Meyer points out the Manhattan project took four years. Four years for a bunch of physicists who had never seen it done. Who only had the knowledge that it was possible in theory. Men who had to make up everything as they went along. It took them four years.

Well, you say, they had a really big budget. How much money is Iran making per day on oil? They are not spending any of it to give their citizens a better life so it has to be going somewhere.

Iran has been buying the talent and the hardward for years. There is no rational reason that they can't have a bomb within the year.