Tuesday, May 08, 2007

Demography is destiny

Michael Barone studied the nation's demographic trends and found some conclusions which surprised him. What I found most interesting was this:

You see an entirely different picture in the 16 metro areas I call the Interior Boomtowns (none touches the Atlantic or Pacific coasts). Their population has grown 18% in six years. They've had considerable immigrant inflow, 4%, but with the exceptions of Dallas and Houston, this immigrant inflow has been dwarfed by a much larger domestic inflow--three million to 1.5 million overall.

Domestic inflow has been a whopping 19% in Las Vegas, 15% in the Inland Empire (California's Riverside and San Bernardino Counties, where much of the outflow from Los Angeles has gone), 13% in Orlando and Charlotte, 12% in Phoenix, 10% in Tampa, 9% in Jacksonville. Domestic inflow was over 200,000 in the Inland Empire, Phoenix, Atlanta, Las Vegas and Orlando. These are economic dynamos that are driving much of America's growth. There's much less economic polarization here than in the Coastal Megalopolises, and a higher percentage of traditional families: Natural increase (the excess of births over deaths) in the Interior Boomtowns is 6%, well above the 4% in the Coastal Megalopolises.

The nation's center of gravity is shifting: Dallas is now larger than San Francisco, Houston is now larger than Detroit, Atlanta is now larger than Boston, Charlotte is now larger than Milwaukee. State capitals that were just medium-sized cities dominated by government employees in the 1950s--Sacramento, Austin, Raleigh, Nashville, Richmond--are now booming centers of high-tech and other growing private-sector businesses. San Antonio has more domestic than immigrant inflow even though the border is only three hours' drive away. The Interior Boomtowns generated 38% of the nation's population growth in 2000-06.

This is another political world from the Coastal Megalopolises: the Interior Boomtowns voted 56% for George W. Bush in 2004. Texas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia and Nevada--states dominated by Interior Boomtowns--are projected to pick up 10 House seats in the 2010 Census.


I guess the South did rise again.

Seriously what the population trends show is the growth of Red State America and the decline of Blue State America. This is not lost on the left which is desperately trying to replenish its ranks by importing the most ignorant and poor citizens of Mexico and make them citizens of the United States.

Democrats know that they have a problem. They have butchered over 30 million children in the nation's abortion mills and the irony is that most of those dead babies would have grown up to be Democrats (the only good argument for Roe vs Wade I've ever heard). Those who successfully made it out of their mother's liberated wombs are choosing to have few or no children.

Where else are the next generation of Democrat voters going to come from?

Another thing, in the very near future the decline of the Blue State economies is going to become very manifest. No more will clueless liberals be able to crow about how Blue America produces more wealth than Red America.

If you want to know what New York City will look like in 15 years go to Mexico City today.