Slimy dick writes Hillary's obit

The real message of Tuesday’s primaries is not that Hillary won. It’s that she didn’t win by enough.

The race is over.

The results are already clear. Obama will go to the Democratic Convention with a lead of between 100 and 200 elected delegates. The remaining question is: What will the superdelegates do then? But is that really a question? Will the leaders of the Democratic Party be complicit in its destruction? Will they really kindle a civil war by denying the nomination to the man who won the most elected delegates? No way. They well understand that to do so would be to throw away the party’s chances of victory and to stigmatize it among African-Americans and young people for the rest of their lives. The Democratic Party took 20 years to recover from the traumas of 1968 and it is not about to trigger a similar bloodletting this year.

John McCain’s nomination guarantees that the superdelegates wouldn’t dare. A perfectly acceptable alternative for most Democrats, McCain would harvest so large a proportion of Obama’s votes if Hillary steals the nomination that he would probably win. Even putting Obama on the ticket would not allay the anger of his supporters; it would just make him complicit in the robbery.

Will Hillary win Pennsylvania? Who cares? Even if she were to sweep the remaining primaries and caucuses by 10 points, she would move just 60 votes closer to Obama’s total of elected delegates. And she won’t sweep them all. Even if Hillary wins Pennsylvania, the largest prize up for grabs, Obama will probably win North Carolina, which is almost as large. He’s likely to win Mississippi and Wyoming and has a good shot in Oregon and Indiana. The most likely result of these coming contests is that Obama will be roughly where he is now, about 140 elected delegates ahead of Hillary.

Suppose that Hillary will carry those states by enough to offset Obama’s delegate lead. The proportional representation system makes a knockout impossible and so mutes relatively narrow victories as to make them almost inconsequential. Little Vermont, with 600,000 people, gave Obama a net gain of four delegates, half of what Hillary won from the Texas primary, a state with 20 million residents. Even after Hillary won big-state victories in Ohio and Texas, she drew only 20 closer to Obama’s total of elected delegates.

Hillary won’t withdraw. That much is for sure. The tantalizing notion that 800 insiders can offset a season of primaries and caucuses will drive both Clintons to ever-escalating rhetoric. Will their attacks hurt Obama? Likely all they will achieve is to give him needed experience in the cut and thrust of media politics.

Shooting the Messengers observes that slimy dick is in the throws of full-blown man love over Hussein. This is certainly true, however slimy dick is once again wrong in his assessment of the big picture.

The fact is that I fear that B. Hussein has peaked too soon. Cooler heads in the Democrat party have taken a look at the gentleman from Illinois and realized that however good at giving a speech (which someone else has to write for him) Obama is that if you scratch the surface and peer within you find a void as empty as intergalactic space.

There simply is no "there" there.

Hussein's inability to stand up to even mildly probing questions at a recent press conference demonstrate how totally unprepared he is to do anything but receive worship and inspire fears of how he could be reduced to bloody chunks by the Republican attack machine.

This is leading Democrats, and not just leaders but rank-and-file types as well, to think that maybe Clinton is the safe bet after all. They don't like her but the ability to win covers a multitude of sins. If you want an historical example look at what happened to Howard Dean.

Of course the problem for the dims this time around is that they've scoped out Barack's fatal weakness too late in the process to easily shunt him off to the side.

Still the dims know that they should be excellently positioned to win this time around. The nation is entering a recession which the party of the current administration will take the lion's share of the blame for (even if they don't deserve it) and we are involved in a war which had grown unpopular. Voter's self-identification has been strongly trending Democrat for the past few years a clear majority of people say that they want "change".

They are not going to squander this kind of advantage by letting an empty suit be their party's front man.

Obama will be Hillary's vice president and the deal will be packaged in such a way that Obo's supporters will be able to convince themselves that the piss in their face is really the warm spring rain (if you doubt this can happen just look at the way that "conservative" McCain kool-aid drinkers have been willing to convince themselves that dog shit is apple butter and spread it on their toast).

This will likely save the nation by preventing McCain, the "perfectly acceptable alternative for most Democrats" (for the simple reason that at heart he is a Democrat) from purging conservatism from the Republican party and taking it back to its status as a permanent minority.

But that's a story to be told around another campfire.